SSC Napoli vs Genoa CFC Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 16 May 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SSC Napoli69%
- SSC Napoli 69%
- Draw 22%
- Genoa CFC 10%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SSC Napoli, rating it at 68.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SSC Napoli won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Genoa CFC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 257 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SSC Napoli: LWWDW
Genoa CFC: LLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 257 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Genoa CFC vs SSC Napoli | 0–2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Genoa CFC vs SSC Napoli | 2–3 |
| 2025-10-05 | SSC Napoli vs Genoa CFC | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-11 | SSC Napoli vs Genoa CFC | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-21 | Genoa CFC vs SSC Napoli | 1–2 |
| 2024-02-17 | Napoli vs Genoa | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-16 | Genoa vs Napoli | 2–2 |
| 2022-05-15 | Napoli vs Genoa | 3–0 |
| 2021-08-29 | Genoa vs Napoli | 1–2 |
| 2021-02-06 | Genoa vs Napoli | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SSC Napoli vs Genoa CFC?
- Tofiko's model favours SSC Napoli (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SSC Napoli vs Genoa CFC kick off?
- Sun, 16 May 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the SSC Napoli vs Genoa CFC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.