UC Sampdoriavs
Spezia CalcioUC Sampdoria 1-0 Spezia Calcio — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 31 Jan 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UC Sampdoria49%
- UC Sampdoria 49%
- Draw 25%
- Spezia Calcio 26%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick UC Sampdoria, rating it at 49.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and UC Sampdoria won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
UC Sampdoria: LDLWL
Spezia Calcio: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | UC Sampdoria vs Spezia Calcio | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Spezia Calcio vs UC Sampdoria | 1–0 |
| 2024-04-20 | Spezia vs Sampdoria | 0–0 |
| 2023-11-24 | Sampdoria vs Spezia | 2–1 |
| 2023-04-22 | Sampdoria vs Spezia | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-17 | Spezia vs Sampdoria | 2–1 |
| 2022-01-23 | Spezia vs Sampdoria | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-22 | Sampdoria vs Spezia | 2–1 |
| 2021-05-12 | Sampdoria vs Spezia | 2–2 |
| 2021-01-11 | Spezia vs Sampdoria | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win UC Sampdoria vs Spezia Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours UC Sampdoria (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UC Sampdoria vs Spezia Calcio kick off?
- Sat, 31 Jan 2026 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the UC Sampdoria vs Spezia Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.