Venezia FCvs
Calcio PadovaVenezia FC 3-1 Calcio Padova — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BTue, 17 Mar 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Venezia FC63%
- Venezia FC 63%
- Draw 22%
- Calcio Padova 14%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Venezia FC, rating it at 63.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Venezia FC won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Venezia FC: LLLWD
Calcio Padova: DWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Venezia FC vs Calcio Padova | 3–1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Calcio Padova vs Venezia FC | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Venezia FC vs Calcio Padova?
- Tofiko's model favours Venezia FC (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Venezia FC vs Calcio Padova kick off?
- Tue, 17 Mar 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Venezia FC vs Calcio Padova head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.