Ascolivs
Carrarese Calcio 1908Ascoli 1-1 Carrarese Calcio 1908 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 29 Aug 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Ascoli50%
- Ascoli 50%
- Draw 25%
- Carrarese Calcio 1908 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Ascoli, rating it at 49.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Ascoli did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Ascoli's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Carrarese Calcio 1908's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Ascoli: DWLWL
Carrarese Calcio 1908: DLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Ascoli vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Ascoli vs Carrarese Calcio 1908?
- Tofiko's model favours Ascoli (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Ascoli vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Ascoli vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.