Ascoli crestAscolivsFrosinone crestFrosinone

Ascoli 0-1 Frosinone — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2022-2023Fri, 11 Nov 2022 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Frosinone44%

  • Ascoli 30%
  • Draw 26%
  • Frosinone 44%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Frosinone, rating it at 44.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and Ascoli won none of them. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 6 Sep 2026.

Ascoli: WDWLW

Frosinone: DWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 6 Sep 2026.

  • 7Games
  • 1.71Avg goals
  • 43%Both scored
  • 14%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-26Frosinone Calcio vs Ascoli1–0
2023-04-10Frosinone vs Ascoli2–0
2022-11-11Ascoli vs Frosinone0–1
2022-03-06Ascoli vs Frosinone1–1
2021-10-23Frosinone vs Ascoli2–1
2021-02-09Ascoli vs Frosinone1–1
2020-10-17Frosinone vs Ascoli1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Ascoli vs Frosinone?
Tofiko's model favours Frosinone (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Ascoli vs Frosinone kick off?
Fri, 11 Nov 2022 19:30 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
What is the Ascoli vs Frosinone head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.71 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legFrosinone 2-0 Ascoli10 Apr 2023 →