Ascolivs
SpeziaAscoli 1-2 Spezia — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sat, 09 Dec 2023 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Ascoli45%
- Ascoli 45%
- Draw 26%
- Spezia 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Ascoli, rating it at 45.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Ascoli won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 26.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Ascoli: WDWLW
Spezia: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-01 | Spezia vs Ascoli | 2–1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Ascoli vs Spezia | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Ascoli vs Spezia?
- Tofiko's model favours Ascoli (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Ascoli vs Spezia kick off?
- Sat, 09 Dec 2023 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
- What is the Ascoli vs Spezia head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.