US Avellino 1912 1-3 Frosinone Calcio — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BWed, 11 Feb 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Frosinone Calcio53%
- US Avellino 1912 25%
- Draw 22%
- Frosinone Calcio 53%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Frosinone Calcio, rating it at 52.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and US Avellino 1912 won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- US Avellino 1912's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
US Avellino 1912: WLLDL
Frosinone Calcio: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | US Avellino 1912 vs Frosinone Calcio | 1–3 |
| 2025-08-24 | Frosinone Calcio vs US Avellino 1912 | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Avellino 1912 vs Frosinone Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours Frosinone Calcio (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Avellino 1912 vs Frosinone Calcio kick off?
- Wed, 11 Feb 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the US Avellino 1912 vs Frosinone Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.