US Avellino 1912 crestUS Avellino 1912vsMantova 1911 crestMantova 1911

US Avellino 1912 0-0 Mantova 1911 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 04 Oct 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs US Avellino 191245%

  • US Avellino 1912 45%
  • Draw 24%
  • Mantova 1911 31%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick US Avellino 1912, rating it at 45.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and US Avellino 1912 won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • US Avellino 1912's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

US Avellino 1912: WLLDL

Mantova 1911: LWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-18Mantova 1911 vs US Avellino 19120–2
2025-10-04US Avellino 1912 vs Mantova 19110–0

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FAQ

Who will win US Avellino 1912 vs Mantova 1911?
Tofiko's model favours US Avellino 1912 (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Avellino 1912 vs Mantova 1911 kick off?
Sat, 04 Oct 2025 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the US Avellino 1912 vs Mantova 1911 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legMantova 0-2 Avellino18 Apr 2026 →