US Avellino 1912 crestUS Avellino 1912vsAC Reggiana 1919 crestAC Reggiana 1919

US Avellino 1912 4-3 AC Reggiana 1919 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 01 Nov 2025 11:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs US Avellino 191248%

  • US Avellino 1912 48%
  • Draw 25%
  • AC Reggiana 1919 27%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick US Avellino 1912, rating it at 48.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and US Avellino 1912 won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • US Avellino 1912's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

US Avellino 1912: WLLDL

AC Reggiana 1919: WDLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-22AC Reggiana 1919 vs US Avellino 19121–1
2025-11-01US Avellino 1912 vs AC Reggiana 19194–3

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FAQ

Who will win US Avellino 1912 vs AC Reggiana 1919?
Tofiko's model favours US Avellino 1912 (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Avellino 1912 vs AC Reggiana 1919 kick off?
Sat, 01 Nov 2025 11:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the US Avellino 1912 vs AC Reggiana 1919 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legReggiana 1-1 Avellino22 Feb 2026 →