US Avellino 1912 2-1 UC Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 10 Jan 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UC Sampdoria40%
- US Avellino 1912 36%
- Draw 24%
- UC Sampdoria 40%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks UC Sampdoria, rating it at 39.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and US Avellino 1912 won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. US Avellino 1912's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. UC Sampdoria's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- US Avellino 1912's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
US Avellino 1912: WLLDL
UC Sampdoria: LDLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | UC Sampdoria vs US Avellino 1912 | 2–1 |
| 2026-01-10 | US Avellino 1912 vs UC Sampdoria | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Avellino 1912 vs UC Sampdoria?
- Tofiko's model favours UC Sampdoria (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does US Avellino 1912 vs UC Sampdoria kick off?
- Sat, 10 Jan 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the US Avellino 1912 vs UC Sampdoria head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.