US Avellino 1912vs
Spezia CalcioUS Avellino 1912 0-4 Spezia Calcio — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 25 Oct 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs US Avellino 191240%
- US Avellino 1912 40%
- Draw 24%
- Spezia Calcio 35%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks US Avellino 1912, rating it at 40.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and US Avellino 1912 won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- US Avellino 1912's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
US Avellino 1912: WLLDL
Spezia Calcio: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Spezia Calcio vs US Avellino 1912 | 1–0 |
| 2025-10-25 | US Avellino 1912 vs Spezia Calcio | 0–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Avellino 1912 vs Spezia Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours US Avellino 1912 (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does US Avellino 1912 vs Spezia Calcio kick off?
- Sat, 25 Oct 2025 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the US Avellino 1912 vs Spezia Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.