FC Bari 1908 crestFC Bari 1908vsCagliari crestCagliari

FC Bari 1908 1-1 Cagliari — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sat, 18 Feb 2023 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cagliari41%

  • FC Bari 1908 33%
  • Draw 26%
  • Cagliari 41%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Cagliari, rating it at 41.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC Bari 1908 won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 6 Sep 2026.

FC Bari 1908: WDLWW

Cagliari: LLWWD

Head-to-head

As of 6 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-02-18FC Bari 1908 vs Cagliari1–1
2022-09-17Cagliari vs FC Bari 19080–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Bari 1908 vs Cagliari?
Tofiko's model favours Cagliari (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Bari 1908 vs Cagliari kick off?
Sat, 18 Feb 2023 15:15 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
What is the FC Bari 1908 vs Cagliari head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legCagliari 0-1 Bari17 Sept 2022 →