SSC Bari crestSSC BarivsCarrarese Calcio 1908 crestCarrarese Calcio 1908

SSC Bari 0-3 Carrarese Calcio 1908 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSun, 22 Mar 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SSC Bari42%

  • SSC Bari 42%
  • Draw 25%
  • Carrarese Calcio 1908 34%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SSC Bari, rating it at 41.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and SSC Bari won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

SSC Bari: DLWWW

Carrarese Calcio 1908: DLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-22SSC Bari vs Carrarese Calcio 19080–3
2026-01-10Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs SSC Bari1–0

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FAQ

Who will win SSC Bari vs Carrarese Calcio 1908?
Tofiko's model favours SSC Bari (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SSC Bari vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 kick off?
Sun, 22 Mar 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the SSC Bari vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legCarrarese 1-0 Bari10 Jan 2026 →