SSC Bari crestSSC BarivsCesena FC crestCesena FC

SSC Bari 1-0 Cesena FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSun, 02 Nov 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SSC Bari46%

  • SSC Bari 46%
  • Draw 24%
  • Cesena FC 30%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SSC Bari, rating it at 45.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and SSC Bari won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

SSC Bari: DLWWW

Cesena FC: WDLDW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-24Cesena FC vs SSC Bari1–2
2025-11-02SSC Bari vs Cesena FC1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SSC Bari vs Cesena FC?
Tofiko's model favours SSC Bari (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SSC Bari vs Cesena FC kick off?
Sun, 02 Nov 2025 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the SSC Bari vs Cesena FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legCesena 1-2 Bari24 Jan 2026 →