SSC Barivs
Empoli FCSSC Bari 2-1 Empoli FC — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BWed, 04 Mar 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Empoli FC38%
- SSC Bari 37%
- Draw 25%
- Empoli FC 38%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Empoli FC, rating it at 37.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and SSC Bari won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 37.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
SSC Bari: DLWWW
Empoli FC: LWDDD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | SSC Bari vs Empoli FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Empoli FC vs SSC Bari | 5–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SSC Bari vs Empoli FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Empoli FC (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does SSC Bari vs Empoli FC kick off?
- Wed, 04 Mar 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the SSC Bari vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.