SSC Bari crestSSC BarivsModena crestModena

SSC Bari 3-1 Modena — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BMon, 06 Apr 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SSC Bari38%

  • SSC Bari 38%
  • Draw 26%
  • Modena 36%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks SSC Bari, rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and SSC Bari won 1 of 6, with 3 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

SSC Bari: DLWWW

Modena: WWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 83%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-06SSC Bari vs Modena3–1
2025-09-13Modena vs SSC Bari3–0
2024-04-01Modena vs SSC Bari1–1
2023-10-21SSC Bari vs Modena1–1
2023-05-06Modena vs FC Bari 19081–1
2022-12-11FC Bari 1908 vs Modena4–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SSC Bari vs Modena?
Tofiko's model favours SSC Bari (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does SSC Bari vs Modena kick off?
Mon, 06 Apr 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the SSC Bari vs Modena head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legModena 3-0 Bari13 Sept 2025 →