SSC Barivs
Calcio PadovaSSC Bari 2-1 Calcio Padova — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 04 Oct 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SSC Bari48%
- SSC Bari 48%
- Draw 25%
- Calcio Padova 26%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick SSC Bari, rating it at 48.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and SSC Bari won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
SSC Bari: DLWWW
Calcio Padova: DWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Calcio Padova vs SSC Bari | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | SSC Bari vs Calcio Padova | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SSC Bari vs Calcio Padova?
- Tofiko's model favours SSC Bari (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SSC Bari vs Calcio Padova kick off?
- Sat, 04 Oct 2025 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the SSC Bari vs Calcio Padova head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.