SSC Bari crestSSC BarivsParma Calcio 1913 crestParma Calcio 1913

SSC Bari 1-1 Parma Calcio 1913 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2023-2024Wed, 01 May 2024 15:59 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Parma Calcio 191343%

  • SSC Bari 32%
  • Draw 25%
  • Parma Calcio 1913 43%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Parma Calcio 1913, rating it at 42.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and SSC Bari won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

SSC Bari: DLWWW

Parma Calcio 1913: LLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.25Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-05-01SSC Bari vs Parma Calcio 19131–1
2023-09-27Parma Calcio 1913 vs SSC Bari2–1
2023-01-14FC Bari 1908 vs Parma Calcio 19134–0
2022-08-12Parma Calcio 1913 vs FC Bari 19082–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SSC Bari vs Parma Calcio 1913?
Tofiko's model favours Parma Calcio 1913 (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SSC Bari vs Parma Calcio 1913 kick off?
Wed, 01 May 2024 15:59 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
What is the SSC Bari vs Parma Calcio 1913 head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legParma 2-1 Bari27 Sept 2023 →