SSC Barivs
Spezia CalcioSSC Bari 0-0 Spezia Calcio — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BWed, 11 Feb 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SSC Bari44%
- SSC Bari 44%
- Draw 25%
- Spezia Calcio 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick SSC Bari, rating it at 43.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and SSC Bari won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
SSC Bari: DLWWW
Spezia Calcio: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | SSC Bari vs Spezia Calcio | 0–0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Spezia Calcio vs SSC Bari | 1–1 |
| 2024-03-03 | SSC Bari vs Spezia | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-15 | Spezia vs SSC Bari | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SSC Bari vs Spezia Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours SSC Bari (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SSC Bari vs Spezia Calcio kick off?
- Wed, 11 Feb 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the SSC Bari vs Spezia Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.25 goals per game.