Beneventovs
FC Bari 1908Benevento 1-1 FC Bari 1908 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sat, 05 Nov 2022 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Benevento48%
- Benevento 48%
- Draw 25%
- FC Bari 1908 27%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Benevento, rating it at 48.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Benevento won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. FC Bari 1908's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 6 Sep 2026.
Benevento: LDLLW
FC Bari 1908: WDLWW
Head-to-head
As of 6 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-01 | FC Bari 1908 vs Benevento | 2–0 |
| 2022-11-05 | Benevento vs FC Bari 1908 | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Benevento vs FC Bari 1908?
- Tofiko's model favours Benevento (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Benevento vs FC Bari 1908 kick off?
- Sat, 05 Nov 2022 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
- What is the Benevento vs FC Bari 1908 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.