Beneventovs
CagliariBenevento 0-2 Cagliari — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sat, 10 Sep 2022 12:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cagliari39%
- Benevento 36%
- Draw 25%
- Cagliari 39%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Cagliari, rating it at 38.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Benevento won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Cagliari's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 6 Sep 2026.
Benevento: LDLLW
Cagliari: LLWWD
Head-to-head
As of 6 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-11 | Cagliari vs Benevento | 1–0 |
| 2022-09-10 | Benevento vs Cagliari | 0–2 |
| 2021-05-09 | Benevento vs Cagliari | 1–3 |
| 2021-01-06 | Cagliari vs Benevento | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Benevento vs Cagliari?
- Tofiko's model favours Cagliari (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Benevento vs Cagliari kick off?
- Sat, 10 Sep 2022 12:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
- What is the Benevento vs Cagliari head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.