Benevento crestBeneventovsA.C. Monza crestA.C. Monza

Benevento 3-1 A.C. Monza — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2021-2022Thu, 13 Jan 2022 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs A.C. Monza42%

  • Benevento 32%
  • Draw 25%
  • A.C. Monza 42%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick A.C. Monza, rating it at 42.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Benevento won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • A.C. Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 6 Sep 2026.

Benevento: LDLLW

A.C. Monza: WLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 6 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-04-30A.C. Monza vs Benevento3–0
2022-01-13Benevento vs A.C. Monza3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Benevento vs A.C. Monza?
Tofiko's model favours A.C. Monza (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Benevento vs A.C. Monza kick off?
Thu, 13 Jan 2022 19:30 GMT — Italian Serie B 2021-2022.
What is the Benevento vs A.C. Monza head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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First legMonza 3-0 Benevento30 Apr 2022 →