Benevento crestBeneventovsFC Sudtirol crestFC Sudtirol

Benevento 1-1 FC Sudtirol — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSun, 30 Aug 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Benevento46%

  • Benevento 46%
  • Draw 26%
  • FC Sudtirol 28%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Benevento, rating it at 45.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Benevento won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Benevento: DLLWD

FC Sudtirol: DWDWW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-30Benevento vs FC Sudtirol1–1
2023-03-01Benevento vs FC Sudtirol0–2
2022-10-09FC Sudtirol vs Benevento1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Benevento vs FC Sudtirol?
Tofiko's model favours Benevento (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Benevento vs FC Sudtirol kick off?
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Benevento vs FC Sudtirol head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legSudtirol 1-1 Benevento9 Oct 2022 →