US Catanzaro 1929 crestUS Catanzaro 1929vsCarrarese Calcio 1908 crestCarrarese Calcio 1908

US Catanzaro 1929 1-1 Carrarese Calcio 1908 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 13 Sep 2025 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs US Catanzaro 192954%

  • US Catanzaro 1929 54%
  • Draw 23%
  • Carrarese Calcio 1908 24%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick US Catanzaro 1929, rating it at 53.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and US Catanzaro 1929 won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. US Catanzaro 1929's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Carrarese Calcio 1908's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

US Catanzaro 1929: LLDWW

Carrarese Calcio 1908: DLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-04Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs US Catanzaro 19293–3
2025-09-13US Catanzaro 1929 vs Carrarese Calcio 19081–1

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FAQ

Who will win US Catanzaro 1929 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908?
Tofiko's model favours US Catanzaro 1929 (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Catanzaro 1929 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 kick off?
Sat, 13 Sep 2025 15:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the US Catanzaro 1929 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legCarrarese 3-3 Catanzaro4 Mar 2026 →