US Catanzaro 1929 crestUS Catanzaro 1929vsEmpoli FC crestEmpoli FC

US Catanzaro 1929 3-2 Empoli FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSun, 08 Mar 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs US Catanzaro 192947%

  • US Catanzaro 1929 47%
  • Draw 24%
  • Empoli FC 29%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick US Catanzaro 1929, rating it at 47.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and US Catanzaro 1929 won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. US Catanzaro 1929's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Empoli FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

US Catanzaro 1929: LLDWW

Empoli FC: LWDDD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-08US Catanzaro 1929 vs Empoli FC3–2
2025-11-08Empoli FC vs US Catanzaro 19291–0

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FAQ

Who will win US Catanzaro 1929 vs Empoli FC?
Tofiko's model favours US Catanzaro 1929 (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Catanzaro 1929 vs Empoli FC kick off?
Sun, 08 Mar 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the US Catanzaro 1929 vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legEmpoli 1-0 Catanzaro8 Nov 2025 →