US Catanzaro 1929 crestUS Catanzaro 1929vsSpezia Calcio crestSpezia Calcio

US Catanzaro 1929 4-2 Spezia Calcio — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 25 Apr 2026 10:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs US Catanzaro 192961%

  • US Catanzaro 1929 61%
  • Draw 22%
  • Spezia Calcio 17%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick US Catanzaro 1929, rating it at 60.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and US Catanzaro 1929 won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

US Catanzaro 1929: LLDWW

Spezia Calcio: WWDWD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-25US Catanzaro 1929 vs Spezia Calcio4–2
2025-08-30Spezia Calcio vs US Catanzaro 19290–0
2024-02-03Spezia vs U.S. Catanzaro 19291–1
2023-08-30U.S. Catanzaro 1929 vs Spezia3–0

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FAQ

Who will win US Catanzaro 1929 vs Spezia Calcio?
Tofiko's model favours US Catanzaro 1929 (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Catanzaro 1929 vs Spezia Calcio kick off?
Sat, 25 Apr 2026 10:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the US Catanzaro 1929 vs Spezia Calcio head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legSpezia 0-0 Catanzaro30 Aug 2025 →