US Catanzaro 1929 4-2 Spezia Calcio — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 25 Apr 2026 10:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs US Catanzaro 192961%
- US Catanzaro 1929 61%
- Draw 22%
- Spezia Calcio 17%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick US Catanzaro 1929, rating it at 60.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and US Catanzaro 1929 won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
US Catanzaro 1929: LLDWW
Spezia Calcio: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | US Catanzaro 1929 vs Spezia Calcio | 4–2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Spezia Calcio vs US Catanzaro 1929 | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-03 | Spezia vs U.S. Catanzaro 1929 | 1–1 |
| 2023-08-30 | U.S. Catanzaro 1929 vs Spezia | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Catanzaro 1929 vs Spezia Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours US Catanzaro 1929 (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Catanzaro 1929 vs Spezia Calcio kick off?
- Sat, 25 Apr 2026 10:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the US Catanzaro 1929 vs Spezia Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.