Cesena FCvs
AC MonzaCesena FC 1-3 AC Monza — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BTue, 03 Mar 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza46%
- Cesena FC 29%
- Draw 24%
- AC Monza 46%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Cesena FC won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AC Monza's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Cesena FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Cesena FC: WDLDW
AC Monza: WLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | Cesena FC vs AC Monza | 1–3 |
| 2025-11-23 | AC Monza vs Cesena FC | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Cesena FC vs AC Monza?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cesena FC vs AC Monza kick off?
- Tue, 03 Mar 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Cesena FC vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.