Como crestComovsBenevento crestBenevento

Como 2-1 Benevento — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sat, 22 Oct 2022 12:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Como61%

  • Como 61%
  • Draw 23%
  • Benevento 16%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Como, rating it at 61.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Como won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 6 Sep 2026.

Como: WWDLD

Benevento: LDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 6 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-03-11Benevento vs Como0–0
2022-10-22Como vs Benevento2–1
2022-02-23Benevento vs Como5–0
2021-09-25Como vs Benevento1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Como vs Benevento?
Tofiko's model favours Como (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Como vs Benevento kick off?
Sat, 22 Oct 2022 12:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
What is the Como vs Benevento head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legBenevento 0-0 Como11 Mar 2023 →