Como crestComovsPalermo crestPalermo

Como 3-3 Palermo — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sat, 23 Dec 2023 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Como56%

  • Como 56%
  • Draw 23%
  • Palermo 21%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Como, rating it at 55.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Como won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Como: WWDLD

Palermo: WWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-02-17Palermo vs Como3–0
2023-12-23Como vs Palermo3–3
2023-05-01Como vs Palermo1–1
2022-12-08Palermo vs Como0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Como vs Palermo?
Tofiko's model favours Como (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Como vs Palermo kick off?
Sat, 23 Dec 2023 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
What is the Como vs Palermo head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legPalermo 3-0 Como17 Feb 2024 →