Cremonese crestCremonesevsAscoli crestAscoli

Cremonese 2-2 Ascoli — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sat, 23 Sep 2023 12:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cremonese51%

  • Cremonese 51%
  • Draw 26%
  • Ascoli 23%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Cremonese, rating it at 51.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Cremonese won 1 of 6, with 4 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Cremonese: WLLWW

Ascoli: WDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-02-16Ascoli vs Cremonese0–0
2023-09-23Cremonese vs Ascoli2–2
2022-04-30Cremonese vs Ascoli0–1
2021-12-18Ascoli vs Cremonese1–4
2021-03-19Ascoli vs Cremonese0–0
2020-12-12Cremonese vs Ascoli3–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Cremonese vs Ascoli?
Tofiko's model favours Cremonese (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Cremonese vs Ascoli kick off?
Sat, 23 Sep 2023 12:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
What is the Cremonese vs Ascoli head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 0 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legAscoli 0-0 Cremonese16 Feb 2024 →