Cremonesevs
BeneventoCremonese 1-1 Benevento — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2021-2022Sun, 17 Oct 2021 12:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cremonese51%
- Cremonese 51%
- Draw 25%
- Benevento 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Cremonese, rating it at 50.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Cremonese won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Cremonese's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 6 Sep 2026.
Cremonese: WLLWW
Benevento: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 6 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-01 | Benevento vs Cremonese | 1–1 |
| 2021-10-17 | Cremonese vs Benevento | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Cremonese vs Benevento?
- Tofiko's model favours Cremonese (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cremonese vs Benevento kick off?
- Sun, 17 Oct 2021 12:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2021-2022.
- What is the Cremonese vs Benevento head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.