US Cremonesevs
ModenaUS Cremonese 0-3 Modena — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BFri, 28 Aug 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs US Cremonese53%
- US Cremonese 53%
- Draw 25%
- Modena 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick US Cremonese, rating it at 52.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and US Cremonese won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
US Cremonese: WLLWW
Modena: WWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | US Cremonese vs Modena | 0–3 |
| 2024-03-03 | Modena vs Cremonese | 0–1 |
| 2023-12-23 | Cremonese vs Modena | 4–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Cremonese vs Modena?
- Tofiko's model favours US Cremonese (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Cremonese vs Modena kick off?
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the US Cremonese vs Modena head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.