Empoli crestEmpolivsAscoli crestAscoli

Empoli 1-1 Ascoli — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2020-2021Wed, 30 Dec 2020 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Empoli50%

  • Empoli 50%
  • Draw 25%
  • Ascoli 25%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Empoli, rating it at 50.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Empoli won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 6 Sep 2026.

Empoli: WLWDD

Ascoli: WDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 6 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2021-05-01Ascoli vs Empoli2–0
2020-12-30Empoli vs Ascoli1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Empoli vs Ascoli?
Tofiko's model favours Empoli (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Empoli vs Ascoli kick off?
Wed, 30 Dec 2020 17:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2020-2021.
What is the Empoli vs Ascoli head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legAscoli 2-0 Empoli1 May 2021 →