Empoli FCvs
US Avellino 1912Empoli FC 1-0 US Avellino 1912 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BFri, 01 May 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Empoli FC57%
- Empoli FC 57%
- Draw 21%
- US Avellino 1912 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Empoli FC, rating it at 56.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Empoli FC won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. US Avellino 1912's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Empoli FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- US Avellino 1912's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Empoli FC: LWDDD
US Avellino 1912: WLLDL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Empoli FC vs US Avellino 1912 | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-22 | US Avellino 1912 vs Empoli FC | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Empoli FC vs US Avellino 1912?
- Tofiko's model favours Empoli FC (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Empoli FC vs US Avellino 1912 kick off?
- Fri, 01 May 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Empoli FC vs US Avellino 1912 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.