Empoli FCvs
Carrarese Calcio 1908Empoli FC 2-2 Carrarese Calcio 1908 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSun, 28 Sep 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Empoli FC50%
- Empoli FC 50%
- Draw 23%
- Carrarese Calcio 1908 26%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Empoli FC, rating it at 50.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Empoli FC won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Empoli FC: LWDDD
Carrarese Calcio 1908: DLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs Empoli FC | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Empoli FC vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Empoli FC vs Carrarese Calcio 1908?
- Tofiko's model favours Empoli FC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Empoli FC vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 kick off?
- Sun, 28 Sep 2025 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Empoli FC vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.