Empoli FC crestEmpoli FCvsCesena FC crestCesena FC

Empoli FC 1-1 Cesena FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 28 Feb 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Empoli FC55%

  • Empoli FC 55%
  • Draw 22%
  • Cesena FC 23%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Empoli FC, rating it at 55.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Empoli FC won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Empoli FC: LWDDD

Cesena FC: WDLDW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-28Empoli FC vs Cesena FC1–1
2026-01-10Cesena FC vs Empoli FC0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Empoli FC vs Cesena FC?
Tofiko's model favours Empoli FC (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Empoli FC vs Cesena FC kick off?
Sat, 28 Feb 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Empoli FC vs Cesena FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legCesena 0-1 Empoli10 Jan 2026 →