Empoli FC crestEmpoli FCvsUC Sampdoria crestUC Sampdoria

Empoli FC 1-1 UC Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BTue, 28 Oct 2025 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Empoli FC48%

  • Empoli FC 48%
  • Draw 24%
  • UC Sampdoria 28%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Empoli FC, rating it at 48.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Empoli FC won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Empoli FC: LWDDD

UC Sampdoria: LDLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 1.83Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 17%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-06UC Sampdoria vs Empoli FC1–0
2025-10-28Empoli FC vs UC Sampdoria1–1
2023-05-15Sampdoria vs Empoli1–1
2023-01-16Empoli vs Sampdoria1–0
2022-02-19Sampdoria vs Empoli2–0
2021-09-19Empoli vs Sampdoria0–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Empoli FC vs UC Sampdoria?
Tofiko's model favours Empoli FC (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Empoli FC vs UC Sampdoria kick off?
Tue, 28 Oct 2025 19:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Empoli FC vs UC Sampdoria head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.83 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legSampdoria 1-0 Empoli6 Apr 2026 →