Palermo FCvs
Calcio PadovaPalermo FC 1-0 Calcio Padova — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 27 Dec 2025 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Palermo FC61%
- Palermo FC 61%
- Draw 22%
- Calcio Padova 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 61.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Palermo FC won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Palermo FC: WWWWL
Calcio Padova: DWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Calcio Padova vs Palermo FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Palermo FC vs Calcio Padova | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Palermo FC vs Calcio Padova?
- Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Palermo FC vs Calcio Padova kick off?
- Sat, 27 Dec 2025 16:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Palermo FC vs Calcio Padova head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.