Empoli FCvs
Spezia CalcioEmpoli FC 1-1 Spezia Calcio — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSun, 14 Sep 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Empoli FC52%
- Empoli FC 52%
- Draw 24%
- Spezia Calcio 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Empoli FC, rating it at 52.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and Empoli FC won none of them. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Empoli FC: LWDDD
Spezia Calcio: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 7Games
- 1.86Avg goals
- 71%Both scored
- 14%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Empoli FC vs Spezia Calcio | 1–1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Spezia Calcio vs Empoli FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Empoli FC vs Spezia Calcio | 1–1 |
| 2023-02-11 | Empoli vs Spezia | 2–2 |
| 2022-08-14 | Spezia vs Empoli | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-09 | Empoli vs Spezia | 0–0 |
| 2021-12-19 | Spezia vs Empoli | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Empoli FC vs Spezia Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours Empoli FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Empoli FC vs Spezia Calcio kick off?
- Sun, 14 Sep 2025 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Empoli FC vs Spezia Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 1 home wins, 6 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.86 goals per game.