Frosinone Calcio crestFrosinone CalciovsCalcio Padova crestCalcio Padova

Frosinone Calcio 2-0 Calcio Padova — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSun, 05 Apr 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Frosinone Calcio64%

  • Frosinone Calcio 64%
  • Draw 22%
  • Calcio Padova 14%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Frosinone Calcio, rating it at 64.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Frosinone Calcio won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Frosinone Calcio: DWLWL

Calcio Padova: DWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-05Frosinone Calcio vs Calcio Padova2–0
2025-09-13Calcio Padova vs Frosinone Calcio0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Frosinone Calcio vs Calcio Padova?
Tofiko's model favours Frosinone Calcio (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Frosinone Calcio vs Calcio Padova kick off?
Sun, 05 Apr 2026 15:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Frosinone Calcio vs Calcio Padova head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legPadova 0-1 Frosinone13 Sept 2025 →