Genoavs
ModenaGenoa 1-0 Modena — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sat, 17 Sep 2022 14:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Genoa55%
- Genoa 55%
- Draw 25%
- Modena 20%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Genoa, rating it at 54.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Genoa won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 6 Sep 2026.
Genoa: LLLWL
Modena: WWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 6 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-19 | Modena vs Genoa | 2–2 |
| 2022-09-17 | Genoa vs Modena | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Genoa vs Modena?
- Tofiko's model favours Genoa (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Genoa vs Modena kick off?
- Sat, 17 Sep 2022 14:15 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
- What is the Genoa vs Modena head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.