Mantova 1911 1-1 Carrarese Calcio 1908 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSun, 01 Mar 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Mantova 191138%
- Mantova 1911 38%
- Draw 24%
- Carrarese Calcio 1908 37%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Mantova 1911, rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Mantova 1911 won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Mantova 1911's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Carrarese Calcio 1908's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Mantova 1911: LWWWL
Carrarese Calcio 1908: DLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs Mantova 1911 | 1–2 |
| 2026-03-01 | Mantova 1911 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs Mantova 1911 | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Mantova 1911 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908?
- Tofiko's model favours Mantova 1911 (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Mantova 1911 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 kick off?
- Sun, 01 Mar 2026 16:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Mantova 1911 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.