Mantova 1911 crestMantova 1911vsCarrarese Calcio 1908 crestCarrarese Calcio 1908

Mantova 1911 1-1 Carrarese Calcio 1908 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSun, 01 Mar 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Mantova 191138%

  • Mantova 1911 38%
  • Draw 24%
  • Carrarese Calcio 1908 37%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Mantova 1911, rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Mantova 1911 won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Mantova 1911's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Carrarese Calcio 1908's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Mantova 1911: LWWWL

Carrarese Calcio 1908: DLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 1.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-22Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs Mantova 19111–2
2026-03-01Mantova 1911 vs Carrarese Calcio 19081–1
2025-12-27Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs Mantova 19110–0

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FAQ

Who will win Mantova 1911 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908?
Tofiko's model favours Mantova 1911 (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Mantova 1911 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 kick off?
Sun, 01 Mar 2026 16:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Mantova 1911 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legCarrarese 1-2 Mantova22 Aug 2026 →