Mantova 1911 crestMantova 1911vsCesena FC crestCesena FC

Mantova 1911 3-0 Cesena FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BTue, 17 Mar 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Mantova 191143%

  • Mantova 1911 43%
  • Draw 24%
  • Cesena FC 33%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Mantova 1911, rating it at 42.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Mantova 1911 won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Mantova 1911: LWWWL

Cesena FC: WDLDW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-17Mantova 1911 vs Cesena FC3–0
2025-12-13Cesena FC vs Mantova 19113–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Mantova 1911 vs Cesena FC?
Tofiko's model favours Mantova 1911 (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Mantova 1911 vs Cesena FC kick off?
Tue, 17 Mar 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Mantova 1911 vs Cesena FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureCesena vs Mantova6 Sept 2026 →