Mantova 1911 3-2 AC Monza — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BFri, 01 May 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza52%
- Mantova 1911 24%
- Draw 24%
- AC Monza 52%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 52.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Mantova 1911 won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Mantova 1911: LWWWL
AC Monza: WLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Mantova 1911 vs AC Monza | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-23 | AC Monza vs Mantova 1911 | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Mantova 1911 vs AC Monza?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Mantova 1911 vs AC Monza kick off?
- Fri, 01 May 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Mantova 1911 vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.