Mantova 1911 crestMantova 1911vsAC Monza crestAC Monza

Mantova 1911 3-2 AC Monza — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BFri, 01 May 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AC Monza52%

  • Mantova 1911 24%
  • Draw 24%
  • AC Monza 52%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 52.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Mantova 1911 won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Mantova 1911: LWWWL

AC Monza: WLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-01Mantova 1911 vs AC Monza3–2
2025-08-23AC Monza vs Mantova 19111–0

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FAQ

Who will win Mantova 1911 vs AC Monza?
Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Mantova 1911 vs AC Monza kick off?
Fri, 01 May 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Mantova 1911 vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legMonza 1-0 Mantova23 Aug 2025 →