Mantova 1911 crestMantova 1911vsUC Sampdoria crestUC Sampdoria

Mantova 1911 2-1 UC Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 21 Feb 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs UC Sampdoria39%

  • Mantova 1911 37%
  • Draw 25%
  • UC Sampdoria 39%
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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks UC Sampdoria, rating it at 38.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Mantova 1911 won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Mantova 1911: LWWWL

UC Sampdoria: LDLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21Mantova 1911 vs UC Sampdoria2–1
2025-11-02UC Sampdoria vs Mantova 19110–1

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FAQ

Who will win Mantova 1911 vs UC Sampdoria?
Tofiko's model favours UC Sampdoria (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Mantova 1911 vs UC Sampdoria kick off?
Sat, 21 Feb 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Mantova 1911 vs UC Sampdoria head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legSampdoria 0-1 Mantova2 Nov 2025 →