Mantova 1911vs
Spezia CalcioMantova 1911 4-1 Spezia Calcio — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSun, 23 Nov 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Mantova 191141%
- Mantova 1911 41%
- Draw 25%
- Spezia Calcio 34%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Mantova 1911, rating it at 40.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Mantova 1911 won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Mantova 1911: LWWWL
Spezia Calcio: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Spezia Calcio vs Mantova 1911 | 0–2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Mantova 1911 vs Spezia Calcio | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Mantova 1911 vs Spezia Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours Mantova 1911 (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Mantova 1911 vs Spezia Calcio kick off?
- Sun, 23 Nov 2025 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Mantova 1911 vs Spezia Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.