Modena 1-0 Ascoli — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sat, 26 Aug 2023 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Modena48%
- Modena 48%
- Draw 26%
- Ascoli 26%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Modena, rating it at 47.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Modena won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Modena: WWLDW
Ascoli: WDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.25Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-20 | Ascoli vs Modena | 0–0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Modena vs Ascoli | 1–0 |
| 2023-03-01 | Modena vs Ascoli | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-08 | Ascoli vs Modena | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Modena vs Ascoli?
- Tofiko's model favours Modena (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Modena vs Ascoli kick off?
- Sat, 26 Aug 2023 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
- What is the Modena vs Ascoli head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.25 goals per game.