Modenavs
BeneventoModena 1-1 Benevento — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sun, 18 Dec 2022 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Modena47%
- Modena 47%
- Draw 25%
- Benevento 27%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Modena, rating it at 47.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Modena won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Modena's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Modena: WWLDW
Benevento: DLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Benevento vs Modena | 1–2 |
| 2023-05-13 | Benevento vs Modena | 2–1 |
| 2022-12-18 | Modena vs Benevento | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Modena vs Benevento?
- Tofiko's model favours Modena (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Modena vs Benevento kick off?
- Sun, 18 Dec 2022 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
- What is the Modena vs Benevento head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.