Modenavs
Empoli FCModena 2-1 Empoli FC — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BFri, 24 Oct 2025 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Modena42%
- Modena 42%
- Draw 26%
- Empoli FC 32%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Modena, rating it at 42.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Modena won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Modena: WWLDW
Empoli FC: LWDDD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Empoli FC vs Modena | 0–0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Modena vs Empoli FC | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Modena vs Empoli FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Modena (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Modena vs Empoli FC kick off?
- Fri, 24 Oct 2025 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Modena vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.