Modenavs
Frosinone CalcioModena 1-2 Frosinone Calcio — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 18 Apr 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Frosinone Calcio41%
- Modena 34%
- Draw 25%
- Frosinone Calcio 41%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Frosinone Calcio, rating it at 40.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Modena won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Modena: WWLDW
Frosinone Calcio: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Modena vs Frosinone Calcio | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Frosinone Calcio vs Modena | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-14 | Frosinone vs Modena | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-14 | Modena vs Frosinone | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Modena vs Frosinone Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours Frosinone Calcio (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Modena vs Frosinone Calcio kick off?
- Sat, 18 Apr 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Modena vs Frosinone Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.